By just
about any fundamental measure, the U.S. equity market appears overvalued,
analysts say. Five traditional measures
of stock market valuation--the cyclically-adjusted P/E ratio (or CAPE), made
famous by Nobel prize –winning Yale
professor Robert Shiller; the price-to-book ratio, price-to-sales ratio and the
dividend yield all saw a vast majority of past bull markets peak at lower valuations than April’s readings. In other words, in April the market was more
overvalued than it was at the peaks of 86% to 100% of all past bull markets. (Chart:
Mark Hulbert, marketwatch.com)
Womack Weekly Commentary September 18, 2017 The Markets “In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice, in practice there is.” Yogi Berra was talking about baseball, but the concept also applies to diversification, according to the GMO White Paper, The S&P 500: Just Say No . From the title, you might think the authors – Matt Kadnar and James Montier – don’t like U.S. stocks. They do: “Being a U.S. equity investor over the past several years has felt glorious. The S&P 500 has trounced the competition provided by other major developed and emerging equity markets. Over the last 7 years, the S&P is up 173 percent (15 percent annualized in nominal terms) versus MSCI EAFE (in USD terms), which is up 71 percent (8 percent annualized), and poor MSCI Emerging, which is up only 30 percent (4 percent annualized). Every dollar invested in the S&P has compounded into $2.72 versus MSCI EAFE’s $1.70 and MSCI Emerging’s $1.30.” The au...
Comments
Post a Comment